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Culture · Polymarket

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Trade on Polymarket →
35.00%
10 PM11 PMFri 0401 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM152025303540455055%35.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$1.9K

Your call

The market says 35.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price35.00%
Spread + depth+18.52 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability53.52%
1869
Shares
$869
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (11.4%)
Mid Price
35.0¢
Total Depth
$1,947
Bid/Ask Imbalance
34% bid
Bids (Buy)
33.0¢30
32.0¢110
31.0¢516
30.0¢230
28.0¢400
26.0¢500
25.0¢500
19.0¢0
Asks (Sell)
37.0¢281
38.0¢499
44.0¢95
45.0¢20
46.0¢20
47.0¢100
68.0¢176
70.0¢500
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
37.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
53.52¢+44.65%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
59.50¢+60.82%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 35.00%, based on $1.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.