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Politics · Polymarket

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Trade on Polymarket →
22.80%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 1510121416182022242628303234%22.80%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 22.3% in 14d (19.1–25.9%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$17.1K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.2¢ (0.9%)
Mid Price
22.8¢
Total Depth
$12,365,581
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
22.7¢257
22.5¢100
22.4¢8
22.2¢800
22.1¢50
21.9¢300
21.7¢200
21.6¢10
Asks (Sell)
22.9¢30
23.0¢60
23.1¢75
23.4¢125
23.7¢50
23.8¢50
23.9¢700
24.0¢741
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
23.38¢+2.10%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
24.17¢+5.54%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
28.28¢+23.49%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

PredictItHow many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election?: 192 or fewer
21.50%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.80%, based on $17.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.