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Culture · Polymarket

Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
64.40%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 272030405060708090%56.35%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 45.2% in 14d (31.5–59.7%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$8.0K
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Your call

The market says 64.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price64.40%
Spread + depth+35.10 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability99.50%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
82.4¢ (143.3%)
Mid Price
57.5¢
Total Depth
$1,044
Bid/Ask Imbalance
8% bid
Bids (Buy)
16.3¢123
16.2¢10
14.3¢24
14.1¢8
13.9¢17
7.0¢7
6.9¢8
4.6¢121
Asks (Sell)
98.7¢41
98.8¢15
98.9¢30
99.0¢15
99.4¢11
99.5¢17
99.6¢57
99.7¢102
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
98.82¢+0.12%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
99.72¢+1.03%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
99.72¢+1.03%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 64.40%, based on $8.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.