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Culture · Polymarket

Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer

Trade on Polymarket →
52.50%
Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 290102030405060708090%52.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 51.9% in 14d (30.7–72.5%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$21.0K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 52.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price52.50%
Spread + depth+6.02 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability58.52%
1709
Shares
$709
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
5.0¢ (9.5%)
Mid Price
52.5¢
Total Depth
$7,157
Bid/Ask Imbalance
33% bid
Bids (Buy)
50.0¢155
45.0¢174
44.0¢2,270
41.0¢357
40.0¢1,250
36.0¢1,400
13.0¢40
12.0¢100
Asks (Sell)
55.0¢20
56.0¢966
61.0¢331
62.0¢76
63.0¢570
66.0¢200
67.0¢250
68.0¢240
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
55.89¢+1.61%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
58.52¢+6.40%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
77.66¢+41.21%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 52.50%, based on $21.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.