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AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
14.00%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 131012141618202224%14.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 13.4% in 14d (11.2–16.0%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$4.0K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (14.3%)
Mid Price
14.0¢
Total Depth
$11,491
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
13.0¢2,979
12.0¢2,113
10.0¢81
9.0¢50
8.0¢100
7.0¢20
6.0¢134
5.0¢955
Asks (Sell)
15.0¢466
16.0¢1,010
17.0¢372
18.0¢590
19.0¢840
22.0¢210
24.0¢9
25.0¢11
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
15.29¢+1.92%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
23.56¢+57.06%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
72.25¢+381.67%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
84.14%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 14.00%, based on $4.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.