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AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $700B and $800B at the end of October 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
10.60%
Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14051015202530354045%10.60%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 4.7% in 14d (2.5–8.5%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$261
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
18.8¢ (177.4%)
Mid Price
10.6¢
Total Depth
$3,015
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
1.2¢20
1.0¢8
0.2¢100
0.1¢2,115
Asks (Sell)
20.0¢20
20.1¢40
20.2¢20
21.5¢20
21.7¢20
21.8¢20
22.0¢15
31.8¢12
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
34.91¢+74.55%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
78.94¢+294.72%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.17¢+355.84%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
84.14%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $700B and $800B at the end of October 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 10.60%, based on $261 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.