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AI · Polymarket

Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
30.50%
Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14101520253035404550%30.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 22.5% in 14d (16.1–30.4%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$496
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.3%)
Mid Price
30.5¢
Total Depth
$3,116
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
30.0¢40
29.0¢36
25.0¢34
22.0¢20
11.0¢73
10.0¢40
9.0¢100
1.0¢8
Asks (Sell)
31.0¢60
43.0¢18
44.0¢20
59.0¢40
70.0¢85
90.0¢150
91.0¢7
93.0¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
50.82¢+63.94%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
87.02¢+180.72%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
94.51¢+204.88%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldOpenAI's latest flagship public model unavailable through a Cursor subscription on December 31, 2026?
84.14%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 30.50%, based on $496 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.