5.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 95% on "Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?", backed by $298 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $298
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
2.0¢ (40.0%)
Mid Price
5.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$5,313
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
4.0¢3,422
3.0¢1,553
2.0¢2,522
1.0¢5,057
Asks (Sell)
6.0¢2,238
7.0¢1,227
8.0¢1,051
9.0¢416
10.0¢291
11.0¢120
13.0¢255
16.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
6.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
15.05¢+150.88%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
45.59¢+659.79%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 5.00%, based on $298 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.