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Finance · Polymarket

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
50.50%
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSep 1303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMMon 1403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM15202530354045505560%51.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$3.1K

Your call

The market says 50.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price50.50%
Spread + depth+26.76 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability77.26%
1294
Shares
$294
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
13.0¢ (25.2%)
Mid Price
51.5¢
Total Depth
$10,306
Bid/Ask Imbalance
93% bid
Bids (Buy)
45.0¢555
44.0¢5
41.0¢50
34.0¢150
31.0¢220
30.0¢20
29.0¢450
28.0¢28
Asks (Sell)
58.0¢494
92.0¢25
97.0¢450
99.0¢12
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
77.26¢+33.20%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
77.26¢+33.20%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
5.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 50.50%, based on $3.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 18, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.