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Finance · Polymarket

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 31 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
42.50%
12 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PM010203040506070%39.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 31.6% in 3d (13.5–57.7%)-0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3.8K
Momentum
-0.03pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
7.0¢ (16.5%)
Mid Price
42.5¢
Total Depth
$3,882
Bid/Ask Imbalance
96% bid
Bids (Buy)
39.0¢821
38.0¢40
35.0¢200
27.0¢37
11.0¢13,636
6.0¢16,667
3.0¢13
2.0¢26,500
Asks (Sell)
46.0¢187
98.0¢7
99.0¢44
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
49.71¢+8.05%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
57.26¢+24.48%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
57.26¢+24.48%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
49.60%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 31 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 42.50%, based on $3.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.