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Economics · Polymarket

Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?

Trade on Polymarket →
72.50%
Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29October30405060708090100%72.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 64.4% in 8d (47.8–78.1%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.9K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 72.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price72.50%
Spread + depth+7.17 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability79.67%
1255
Shares
$255
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (5.5%)
Mid Price
73.0¢
Total Depth
$6,753
Bid/Ask Imbalance
13% bid
Bids (Buy)
71.0¢30
70.0¢149
69.0¢205
68.0¢126
67.0¢40
58.0¢20
57.0¢100
56.0¢67
Asks (Sell)
75.0¢183
76.0¢153
78.0¢74
79.0¢191
80.0¢320
83.0¢50
84.0¢114
85.0¢348
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
75.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
79.67¢+6.23%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
93.68¢+24.91%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 72.50%, based on $1.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.