Sports · Polymarket

Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?

3.00%

Model projection: 2.8% in 14d (2.2–3.5%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 97% on "Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?", backed by $43.5K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $43.5K
Momentum: -0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 3.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price3.00%

Spread + depth+1.79 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability4.79%

20898

$19,898

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

0.6¢ (20.0%)

Mid Price

3.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$24,238,931

Bid/Ask Imbalance

0% bid

Bids (Buy)

2.7¢10

2.6¢481

2.5¢2,232

2.3¢2,222

2.2¢273

2.0¢10,345

1.9¢1,100

1.8¢1,835

Asks (Sell)

3.3¢10

3.4¢12

3.5¢6,134

3.6¢1,006

4.8¢1,000

5.0¢1,000

5.2¢1,000

5.3¢1,000

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

3.50¢+6.03%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

4.79¢+45.01%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

10.32¢+212.73%

avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 4 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Chicago White SoxViewing

3.00%

Boston Red Sox

1.50%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Will either the White Sox or the Astros sweep their 2026 AL Wild Card series (2–0)?

50.64%

Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.00%, based on $43.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.