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Culture · Polymarket

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?

Trade on Polymarket →
24.00%
Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 210102030405060708090100%24.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 14.7% in 14d (6.0–31.8%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$3.1K
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Your call

The market says 24.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price24.00%
Spread + depth+13.36 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability37.36%
2677
Shares
$1,677
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (8.3%)
Mid Price
24.0¢
Total Depth
$2,903
Bid/Ask Imbalance
26% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.0¢862
22.0¢1,567
21.0¢316
20.0¢267
19.0¢20
15.0¢100
10.0¢20
8.0¢7
Asks (Sell)
25.0¢815
26.0¢822
27.0¢170
28.0¢200
31.0¢50
36.0¢111
45.0¢30
70.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
25.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
37.36¢+49.43%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
54.45¢+117.79%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 24.00%, based on $3.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 31, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.