AI · Polymarket
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
Trade on Polymarket →82.25%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 82.25% on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?", backed by $909 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $909
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.5¢ (1.8%)
Mid Price
82.3¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$3,278
Bid/Ask Imbalance
19% bid
Bids (Buy)
81.5¢30
81.4¢20
81.1¢180
80.8¢100
79.5¢117
78.0¢5
76.0¢20
47.6¢500
Asks (Sell)
83.0¢181
83.1¢70
83.2¢50
83.4¢150
89.0¢500
90.0¢500
92.3¢5
92.6¢500
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
83.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
86.89¢+4.69%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.87¢+10.68%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 82.25%, based on $909 in tracked 24h trading volume.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.