AI · Polymarket
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
Trade on Polymarket →66.00%
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 66% on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?", backed by $0 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $27.6K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
8.0¢ (12.1%)
Mid Price
66.0¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$1,221
Bid/Ask Imbalance
34% bid
Bids (Buy)
62.0¢300
46.0¢10
44.0¢5
28.0¢800
3.0¢20
2.0¢12
1.0¢35
Asks (Sell)
70.0¢106
78.0¢222
95.0¢500
96.0¢39
97.0¢6
98.0¢11
99.0¢26
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
71.90¢+2.72%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.15¢+25.93%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
88.15¢+25.93%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 66.00%, based on $27.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.