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Culture · Polymarket

Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
30.50%
06 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2606 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2706 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2806 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2906 AM12 PM06 PMAug 3006 AM12 PM06 PM0510152025303540455055%30.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$688

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
5.6¢ (18.4%)
Mid Price
30.5¢
Total Depth
$14,711
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
27.7¢56
27.0¢1,000
25.5¢20
1.2¢190
1.0¢5
0.1¢120
Asks (Sell)
33.3¢40
33.6¢60
35.9¢40
38.6¢21
40.1¢300
44.8¢120
73.9¢235
74.0¢40
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
36.92¢+10.87%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
69.20¢+107.82%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.10¢+185.59%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Mohan Bhagwat be taken into custody by a U.S. government authority in New York City before August 31, 2026?
8.05%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 30.50%, based on $688 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around August 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.