What is the current probability for "Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 100%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Live odds aggregated from Polymarket logo

Polymarket Kalshi logo

Kalshi

Manifold

PredictIt

Limitless

Connected

Resolved YES

Polymarket settled this market YES on September 22, 2026. It is no longer trading, so there is no live price — the result above is final.