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Culture · Polymarket

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
34.45%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27010203040506070%34.45%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 40.2% in 14d (26.9–55.1%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$2.1K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 34.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price34.45%
Spread + depth+47.41 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability81.86%
1222
Shares
$222
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.1¢ (3.2%)
Mid Price
34.5¢
Total Depth
$6,576
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
33.9¢180
33.3¢34
28.1¢15
28.0¢65
21.8¢32
21.7¢37
21.5¢30
19.3¢26
Asks (Sell)
35.0¢80
35.1¢20
37.0¢14
46.4¢17
46.5¢19
50.2¢30
56.2¢5
70.1¢89
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
45.29¢+29.41%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
81.86¢+133.89%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
96.43¢+175.52%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Daniel Lord livestream between September 12 and September 19 of 2026?
65.35%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.45%, based on $2.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.