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Culture · Polymarket

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?

Trade on Polymarket →
79.00%
Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 21Tue 22Wed 23Thu 24Fri 25Sat 26Sep 27Mon 28Tue 29Wed 30OctoberFri 02Sat 03Oct 04Mon 05Tue 06102030405060708090100%79.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 92.0% in 13d (88.1–94.6%)+0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$595
Momentum
+0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 79.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price79.00%
Spread + depth+5.73 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability84.73%
1180
Shares
$180
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
79.0¢
Total Depth
$2,907
Bid/Ask Imbalance
42% bid
Bids (Buy)
78.0¢274
77.0¢1,066
76.0¢20
75.0¢20
70.0¢20
69.0¢106
66.0¢30
64.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
80.0¢26
82.0¢20
83.0¢281
84.0¢423
85.0¢222
88.0¢50
89.0¢100
90.0¢45
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
82.19¢+2.74%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
84.73¢+5.91%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.59¢+10.73%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 79.00%, based on $595 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 7, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.