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Culture · Polymarket

Will the US add at least 200k jobs in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
6.00%
07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMSat 0501 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM0510152025303540455055%6.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$460

Your call

The market says 6.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price6.00%
Spread + depth+54.45 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability60.45%
1654
Shares
$654
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
6.0¢ (100.0%)
Mid Price
6.0¢
Total Depth
$106,098
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
3.0¢10
2.0¢470
1.0¢8
Asks (Sell)
9.0¢35
13.0¢57
19.0¢10
20.0¢8
26.0¢30
27.0¢55
29.0¢105
33.0¢135
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
25.00¢+177.76%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
60.45¢+571.66%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
87.51¢+872.38%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the US add at least 200k jobs in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.00%, based on $460 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.