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Culture · Polymarket

Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
25.50%
Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16Thu 17Fri 18Sat 19Sep 20Mon 2151015202530354045505560%25.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 19.8% in 14d (13.5–28.1%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.4K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 25.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price25.50%
Spread + depth+32.86 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability58.36%
1714
Shares
$714
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.9%)
Mid Price
25.5¢
Total Depth
$499
Bid/Ask Imbalance
52% bid
Bids (Buy)
25.0¢256
23.0¢218
18.0¢19
14.0¢86
13.0¢125
12.0¢173
10.0¢21
9.0¢153
Asks (Sell)
26.0¢93
27.0¢100
57.0¢21
73.0¢10
74.0¢40
89.0¢10
91.0¢7
92.0¢16
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
37.87¢+45.66%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
58.36¢+124.46%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
58.36¢+124.46%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.50%, based on $1.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.