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Finance · Polymarket

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
Thu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29October0102030405060708090%44.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 33.5% in 8d (18.9–52.0%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$44.9K
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Your call

The market says 44.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.50%
Spread + depth+10.71 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability55.21%
1811
Shares
$811
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (6.7%)
Mid Price
44.5¢
Total Depth
$10,666
Bid/Ask Imbalance
80% bid
Bids (Buy)
43.0¢35
42.0¢231
41.0¢267
40.0¢70
39.0¢61
38.0¢39
37.0¢81
36.0¢158
Asks (Sell)
46.0¢10
47.0¢214
48.0¢250
49.0¢60
50.0¢50
51.0¢50
52.0¢50
55.0¢116
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
46.95¢+2.07%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
55.21¢+20.01%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
64.51¢+40.23%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $102 on September 24, 2026?
10.79%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $44.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.