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Finance · Polymarket

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
89.00%
07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMSat 0501 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM404550556065707580859095%89.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$1.1K

Your call

The market says 89.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price89.00%
Spread + depth+2.88 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability91.88%
1088
Shares
$88
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (4.5%)
Mid Price
89.0¢
Total Depth
$5,147
Bid/Ask Imbalance
88% bid
Bids (Buy)
87.0¢50
86.0¢787
85.0¢183
83.0¢500
82.0¢200
59.0¢10
41.0¢1,000
40.0¢1,500
Asks (Sell)
91.0¢320
92.0¢171
93.0¢183
99.0¢8
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
91.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
91.88¢+0.97%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
91.88¢+0.97%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 89.00%, based on $1.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.