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Culture · Polymarket

Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?

Trade on Polymarket →
17.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 150102030405060%17.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 12.6% in 14d (8.3–18.7%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$41
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 17.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price17.50%
Spread + depth+22.26 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability39.76%
2515
Shares
$1,515
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (5.7%)
Mid Price
17.5¢
Total Depth
$625
Bid/Ask Imbalance
25% bid
Bids (Buy)
17.0¢175
16.0¢735
15.0¢20
10.0¢17
3.0¢12
2.0¢72
1.0¢120
Asks (Sell)
18.0¢118
19.0¢665
20.0¢20
25.0¢20
30.0¢7
31.0¢40
78.0¢20
89.0¢11
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
18.78¢+4.32%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
39.76¢+120.88%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
39.76¢+120.88%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 17.50%, based on $41 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 8, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.