Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez

Trade on Polymarket →
76.50%
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM7476788082848688%76.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$748.0K

Your call

The market says 76.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price76.50%
Spread + depth+14.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability91.00%
1099
Shares
$99
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
90.5¢
Total Depth
$122,782
Bid/Ask Imbalance
53% bid
Bids (Buy)
90.0¢157
89.0¢19,142
88.0¢979
87.0¢1,051
86.0¢20,061
85.0¢15,992
84.0¢4,599
83.0¢5,186
Asks (Sell)
91.0¢17,594
92.0¢9,480
93.0¢15,641
94.0¢15,424
95.0¢2,591
96.0¢105
97.0¢70
98.0¢475
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
91.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
91.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)76.24%
Platforms disagree by 26.5pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez76.50%76¢ / 77¢
99%
Limitless
Furthest from consensus
Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez50.00%0.1¢ / 99.9¢
1%

Similar Sports Markets

Limitless logoLimitless
50.00%-100

Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez

50.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $272
Limitless logoLimitless
50.05%-100

Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez: 22 or more total games?

50.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.0K
Limitless logoLimitless
50.05%-100

Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez: 3 or more total sets?

50.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.0K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 26.524H
67.00%-203

US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaider

67.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $90.2K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 14.524H
31.00%+223

US Open WTA (Doubles): Williams/Williams vs Chan/Joint

31.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $154.9K
Manifold logoManifold
92.62%-1255

Will Alcaraz win the next round of the US open? C.Alcaraz vs Y.Wu?

92.62%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 642 Mana

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 76.50%, based on $748.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 76.24%. See the full comparison table below.