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Sports · Polymarket

US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva

Trade on Polymarket →
17.30%
16.6% calibrated
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMThu 0303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 042030405060708090100%31.75%

Stats

24h Volume
$327.8K

Your call

The market says 17.3%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price17.30%
Spread + depth+21.16 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability38.46%
2600
Shares
$1,600
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.3¢ (0.8%)
Mid Price
38.3¢
Total Depth
$369,142
Bid/Ask Imbalance
9% bid
Bids (Buy)
38.1¢4,894
38.0¢478
37.9¢13,962
37.8¢397
37.3¢10
37.2¢4,753
37.1¢5,556
37.0¢455
Asks (Sell)
38.4¢310
38.5¢13,962
38.7¢370
38.9¢5,245
39.0¢1,123
39.4¢317
39.5¢10
39.6¢13,962
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.40¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
38.49¢+0.23%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
38.81¢+1.06%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)19.61%→ 18.6% calibrated
Platforms disagree by 11.75pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva17.30%16.7¢ / 17.9¢
80%
Limitless
Furthest from consensus
Newly confirmed
Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva29.05%26.6¢ / 31.5¢
20%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 17.30%, based on $327.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (29.05%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 19.61%. See the full comparison table below.