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Sports · Polymarket

St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur

Trade on Polymarket →
32.50%
07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMFri 2501 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM303540455055606570%37.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$50.0K

Your call

The market says 32.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price32.50%
Spread + depth+9.49 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability41.99%
2382
Shares
$1,382
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.5%)
Mid Price
40.5¢
Total Depth
$475,402
Bid/Ask Imbalance
10% bid
Bids (Buy)
40.0¢23,342
39.0¢13,181
38.0¢15,148
37.0¢3,035
36.0¢3,140
35.0¢294
34.0¢10,264
33.0¢25,007
Asks (Sell)
41.0¢23
42.0¢18,814
43.0¢24,243
44.0¢505
45.0¢710
46.0¢838
47.0¢3,656
48.0¢3,077
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
41.90¢+2.20%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
41.99¢+2.42%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
42.20¢+2.94%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)33.93%
Platforms differ by 4pts — a normal range.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketSt. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur32.50%30¢ / 35¢
64%
LimitlessMurphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur36.50%32¢ / 41¢
36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 32.50%, based on $50.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (36.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 33.93%. See the full comparison table below.