Executive Briefing
Live Limitless consensus prices "No" at 59% on "Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur", backed by $6 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $6
Your call
The market says 41.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
AMM — no order book published; the fee is the documented curve, the depth cost is unknown.
Compare Across Platforms
| Platform | Question | Live Price | Real Bid / Ask | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limitless | Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur | 41.00% | 38¢ / 44¢ | 45% |
| Polymarket | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur | 32.50% | 30¢ / 35¢ | 55% |
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Murphy Cassone vs Daniel Masur"?
As of the latest update, Limitless prices this at 41.00%, based on $6 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Limitless's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Limitless. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Polymarket (32.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 36.36%. See the full comparison table below.