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Sports · Polymarket

Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz

Trade on Polymarket →
40.50%
41.2% calibrated
01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMSep 2701 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM3234363840424446%42.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$126.3K

Your call

The market says 40.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price40.50%
Spread + depth+1.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability42.00%
2381
Shares
$1,381
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
41.5¢
Total Depth
$364,153
Bid/Ask Imbalance
9% bid
Bids (Buy)
41.0¢22
40.0¢404
39.0¢1,463
38.0¢17,630
37.0¢10,521
36.0¢1,268
35.0¢876
34.0¢2,334
Asks (Sell)
42.0¢4,845
43.0¢11,264
44.0¢12,218
45.0¢930
46.0¢1,071
48.0¢10,468
49.0¢15,191
51.0¢233
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
42.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
42.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
43.10¢+2.61%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)40.09%
Platforms disagree by 18.45pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketChengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz40.50%40¢ / 41¢
98%
Limitless
Furthest from consensus
Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz22.05%0.1¢ / 44¢
2%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 40.50%, based on $126.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (22.05%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 40.09%. See the full comparison table below.