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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Bills (-7.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
48.50%
46.5% calibrated
Wed 2303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMThu 2403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 2503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM4042444648505254%48.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$101.1K

Your call

The market says 48.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price48.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability49.00%
2041
Shares
$1,041
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.1%)
Mid Price
48.5¢
Total Depth
$419,645
Bid/Ask Imbalance
66% bid
Bids (Buy)
48.0¢408,442
47.0¢56,519
46.0¢39,181
45.0¢25,857
44.0¢46,987
43.0¢1,043
42.0¢705
41.0¢825
Asks (Sell)
49.0¢36,605
50.0¢50,095
51.0¢173,990
52.0¢7,843
53.0¢55
55.0¢600
56.0¢800
57.0¢800
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
49.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
49.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
49.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Bills (-7.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 48.50%, based on $101.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 27, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.