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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: France (-1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
45.3% calibrated
Sep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 243638404244464850%44.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$1.4K

Your call

The market says 44.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.50%
Spread + depth+0.66 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability45.16%
2214
Shares
$1,214
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
44.5¢
Total Depth
$39,580
Bid/Ask Imbalance
41% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢4,872
43.0¢12,576
42.0¢3,675
41.0¢5,086
40.0¢3,505
39.0¢300
38.0¢2,000
36.0¢3,000
Asks (Sell)
45.0¢1,850
46.0¢2,944
47.0¢6,184
48.0¢13,348
49.0¢2,664
50.0¢1,705
51.0¢2,005
53.0¢2,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.16¢+0.37%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
47.17¢+4.82%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: France (-1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $1.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 25, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.