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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Bengals (-3.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
47.50%
45.8% calibrated
Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27202530354045505560657075%47.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 48.9% in 2d (37.8–60.1%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$83.2K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 47.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price47.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability48.00%
2083
Shares
$1,083
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.1%)
Mid Price
47.5¢
Total Depth
$166,403
Bid/Ask Imbalance
34% bid
Bids (Buy)
47.0¢29,190
46.0¢74,089
45.0¢13,711
44.0¢2,943
43.0¢800
37.0¢766
32.0¢31
30.0¢1,000
Asks (Sell)
48.0¢16,097
49.0¢54,923
50.0¢29,234
51.0¢42,302
52.0¢14,772
53.0¢43,693
54.0¢255
55.0¢605
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
48.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
48.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
48.22¢+0.47%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Bengals (-3.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 47.50%, based on $83.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 27, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.