Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
42.50%
44.9% calibrated
Tue 2206 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2306 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2406 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2506 AM3840424446485052%42.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$71.1K

Your call

The market says 42.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price42.50%
Spread + depth+1.44 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability43.94%
2276
Shares
$1,276
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
42.5¢
Total Depth
$70,641
Bid/Ask Imbalance
26% bid
Bids (Buy)
42.0¢363
41.0¢32,037
40.0¢6,161
39.0¢3,139
38.0¢905
37.0¢705
36.0¢800
18.0¢375
Asks (Sell)
43.0¢138
44.0¢4,324
45.0¢93,204
46.0¢3,862
47.0¢3,877
48.0¢143
49.0¢5
51.0¢600
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
43.40¢+0.93%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.94¢+2.18%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
44.79¢+4.17%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Sports Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 224H
50.50%-102

Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5)

50.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $46.4K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 224H
55.50%-125

Hawai'i vs. Wyoming

55.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $96.8K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 0.924H
1.05%

Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)

1.05%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $191.7K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 824H
52.50%-111

Spread: France (-1.5)

52.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $49.0K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 0.5524H
2.55%+3822

Spread: Italy (-3.5)

2.55%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $82.9K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 224H
49.50%+102

Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)

49.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $159.0K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 42.50%, based on $71.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.