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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
50.50%
49.6% calibrated
Tue 2206 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2306 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2406 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2506 AM4648505254565860%50.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$46.4K

Your call

The market says 50.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price50.50%
Spread + depth+0.95 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability51.45%
1944
Shares
$944
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
50.5¢
Total Depth
$31,843
Bid/Ask Imbalance
51% bid
Bids (Buy)
50.0¢299
49.0¢5,329
48.0¢13,652
47.0¢11,027
46.0¢143
45.0¢855
44.0¢800
43.0¢800
Asks (Sell)
51.0¢1,075
52.0¢4,969
53.0¢7,538
54.0¢6,010
55.0¢99
56.0¢120
57.0¢600
58.0¢625
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
51.45¢+0.88%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
52.90¢+3.73%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 50.50%, based on $46.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.