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Sports · Polymarket

China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino

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43.50%
07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMMon 2801 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM424446485052545658606264%45.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$82.1K

Your call

The market says 43.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price43.50%
Spread + depth+5.35 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability48.85%
2047
Shares
$1,047
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.1%)
Mid Price
47.5¢
Total Depth
$352,112
Bid/Ask Imbalance
20% bid
Bids (Buy)
47.0¢10,246
46.0¢63,925
45.0¢8,412
44.0¢1,186
43.0¢667
42.0¢4,127
41.0¢234
40.0¢440
Asks (Sell)
48.0¢300
49.0¢6,121
50.0¢5,808
51.0¢60,722
52.0¢683
53.0¢550
56.0¢3,801
57.0¢16,606
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
48.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
48.85¢+1.78%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
50.05¢+4.27%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 43.50%, based on $82.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.