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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

Trade on Polymarket →
36.50%
32.1% calibrated
01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMMon 0701 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM32343638404244%36.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$211.0K

Your call

The market says 36.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price36.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability37.00%
2703
Shares
$1,703
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.7%)
Mid Price
36.5¢
Total Depth
$247,759
Bid/Ask Imbalance
35% bid
Bids (Buy)
36.0¢98,640
35.0¢51,447
34.0¢30,292
33.0¢35,332
32.0¢7,482
31.0¢15,454
30.0¢1,005
29.0¢805
Asks (Sell)
37.0¢151,323
38.0¢9,508
39.0¢9,584
40.0¢17,576
41.0¢2,580
42.0¢3,669
43.0¢210
44.0¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
37.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
37.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
37.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)36.50%→ 32.1% calibrated
Platforms agree closely — 0pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien36.50%36¢ / 37¢
81%
LimitlessKaren Khachanov vs Learner Tien36.50%34.3¢ / 38.7¢
19%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 36.50%, based on $211.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 14, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (36.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 36.50%. See the full comparison table below.