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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

Trade on Polymarket →
22.50%
20.9% calibrated
06:1506:3006:4507 AM07:1507:3007:4508 AM08:1508:3008:4509 AM09:1509:3009:4510 AM10:1510:3010:451618202224262830%22.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$43.8K

Your call

The market says 22.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price22.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability23.00%
4348
Shares
$3,348
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (4.4%)
Mid Price
22.5¢
Total Depth
$84,481
Bid/Ask Imbalance
28% bid
Bids (Buy)
22.0¢8,884
21.0¢31,522
20.0¢11,937
19.0¢6,215
18.0¢5,005
17.0¢3,245
16.0¢5,705
15.0¢805
Asks (Sell)
23.0¢86,301
24.0¢2,095
25.0¢10,998
26.0¢4,141
27.0¢24,025
28.0¢2,505
29.0¢5
30.0¢1,440
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
23.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
23.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
23.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 22.50%, based on $43.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.