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Sports · Polymarket

Guangzhou: Hayato Matsuoka vs Lloyd Harris

Trade on Polymarket →
34.50%
35.2% calibrated
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMMon 1403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMTue 1503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM101520253035404550%44.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$120.6K

Your call

The market says 34.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price34.50%
Spread + depth+14.72 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability49.22%
2032
Shares
$1,032
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (4.4%)
Mid Price
45.0¢
Total Depth
$1,030,561
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢100
43.0¢716
42.0¢1,651
41.0¢3,540
40.0¢5,367
39.0¢17,092
38.0¢16,408
37.0¢5,229
Asks (Sell)
46.0¢5
47.0¢50
48.0¢335
49.0¢745
50.0¢2,773
51.0¢5,941
52.0¢2,256
53.0¢973
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
47.71¢+3.73%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
49.22¢+7.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
52.03¢+13.10%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Guangzhou: Hayato Matsuoka vs Lloyd Harris"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.50%, based on $120.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 21, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.