Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech

Trade on Polymarket →
98.35%
03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 0403 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM65707580859095100%99.05%

Stats

24h Volume
$583.2K

Your call

The market says 98.3%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price98.35%
Spread + depth+0.58 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability98.93%
1011
Shares
$11
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.6¢ (0.6%)
Mid Price
98.4¢
Total Depth
$58,554
Bid/Ask Imbalance
82% bid
Bids (Buy)
98.1¢250
98.0¢10,714
97.6¢35
97.5¢32
97.1¢25
97.0¢9,656
96.7¢300
96.1¢4,941
Asks (Sell)
98.7¢155
98.8¢85
98.9¢120
99.0¢1,060
99.3¢7
99.7¢242
99.8¢5,184
99.9¢3,558
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
98.70¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.93¢+0.23%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.71¢+1.02%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)98.36%
Platforms agree closely — 0.05pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech98.35%98¢ / 98.7¢
81%
LimitlessDaniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech98.40%96.9¢ / 99.9¢
19%

Similar Sports Markets

Limitless logoLimitless
98.40%

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech

98.40%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $35
Limitless logoLimitless
50.00%-100

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech: 37 or more total games?

50.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $0
Limitless logoLimitless
50.00%-100

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech: 4 or more total sets?

50.00%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $0
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▼ 224H
5.50%+1718

US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz

5.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.5M
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 1524H
53.50%-115

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul

53.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $1.4M
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 424H
52.50%-111

US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mariano Navone

52.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $191.0K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 98.35%, based on $583.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (98.40%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 98.36%. See the full comparison table below.