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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz

Trade on Polymarket →
6.50%
4.9% calibrated
07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PM02468101214%6.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$113.4K

Your call

The market says 6.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price6.50%
Spread + depth+1.43 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability7.93%
12607
Shares
$11,607
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (15.4%)
Mid Price
6.5¢
Total Depth
$35,786
Bid/Ask Imbalance
17% bid
Bids (Buy)
6.0¢19,455
5.0¢32,390
4.0¢27,082
3.0¢19,824
2.0¢75,361
1.0¢5,108
Asks (Sell)
7.0¢856
8.0¢23,380
9.0¢66,911
10.0¢6,069
11.0¢186
12.0¢193
13.0¢1,224
14.0¢5
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
7.37¢+5.27%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
7.93¢+13.32%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
9.78¢+39.70%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Alcaraz win the next round of the US open? C.Alcaraz vs Y.Wu?
90.03%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.50%, based on $113.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 11, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.