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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng

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35.50%
31.4% calibrated
01 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PM3032343638404244%36.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$71.4K

Your call

The market says 35.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price35.50%
Spread + depth+0.93 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability36.43%
2745
Shares
$1,745
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.8%)
Mid Price
35.5¢
Total Depth
$80,382
Bid/Ask Imbalance
44% bid
Bids (Buy)
35.0¢4,726
34.0¢65,247
33.0¢7,156
32.0¢7,469
31.0¢670
30.0¢846
27.0¢23,169
18.0¢39
Asks (Sell)
36.0¢1,467
37.0¢62,745
38.0¢7,086
39.0¢7,369
40.0¢4,228
41.0¢496
42.0¢1,146
45.0¢24,990
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
36.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
36.47¢+1.29%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
36.95¢+2.63%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)35.64%→ 31.5% calibrated
Platforms disagree by 14.5pts — wider than usual, worth checking each quote below before trusting the average.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng35.50%35¢ / 36¢
99%
Limitless
Furthest from consensus
Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng50.00%0.1¢ / 99.9¢
1%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 35.50%, based on $71.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 10, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (50.00%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 35.64%. See the full comparison table below.