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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien

Trade on Polymarket →
3.05%
2.4% calibrated
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMThu 0303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMFri 04051015202530%3.05%

Stats

24h Volume
$388.7K

Your call

The market says 3.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price3.05%
Spread + depth+0.94 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability3.99%
25042
Shares
$24,042
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (3.3%)
Mid Price
3.0¢
Total Depth
$37,613
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
3.0¢13,726
2.4¢25
2.3¢25
2.0¢1,257
1.0¢4,269
0.7¢750
0.1¢5,010
Asks (Sell)
3.1¢10
3.2¢27
3.3¢27
3.4¢27
3.5¢60
3.6¢35
3.8¢50
3.9¢330
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
3.94¢+27.08%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
3.99¢+28.83%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
4.59¢+47.97%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)3.13%→ 2.4% calibrated
Platforms agree closely — 0.45pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien3.05%3¢ / 3.1¢
83%
LimitlessGael Monfils vs Learner Tien3.50%2.3¢ / 4.7¢
17%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 3.05%, based on $388.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 10, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (3.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 3.13%. See the full comparison table below.