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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
20.4% calibrated
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 0503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM3840424446485052%44.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$194.7K

Your call

The market says 44.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability45.00%
2222
Shares
$1,222
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
44.5¢
Total Depth
$298,481
Bid/Ask Imbalance
37% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢13,785
43.0¢92,756
42.0¢34,721
41.0¢13,066
40.0¢9,353
39.0¢9,317
38.0¢1,710
37.0¢5,000
Asks (Sell)
45.0¢8,286
46.0¢67,050
47.0¢67,302
48.0¢18,846
49.0¢8,352
50.0¢8,882
51.0¢60,914
52.0¢75
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
45.62¢+1.38%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)44.50%→ 20.4% calibrated
Platforms agree closely — 0pt spread.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien44.50%44¢ / 45¢
82%
LimitlessJakub Mensik vs Learner Tien44.50%42.2¢ / 46.8¢
18%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $194.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 12, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (44.50%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 44.50%. See the full comparison table below.