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Sports · Polymarket

US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea

Trade on Polymarket →
52.50%
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 0503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM3035404550556065%57.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$906.4K

Your call

The market says 52.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price52.50%
Spread + depth+5.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability58.00%
1724
Shares
$724
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.7%)
Mid Price
57.5¢
Total Depth
$155,103
Bid/Ask Imbalance
31% bid
Bids (Buy)
57.0¢3,507
56.0¢19,995
55.0¢23,130
54.0¢20,014
53.0¢1,811
52.0¢2,338
51.0¢1,851
50.0¢1,065
Asks (Sell)
58.0¢17,333
59.0¢22,937
60.0¢28,733
61.0¢19,825
62.0¢16,434
63.0¢1,883
64.0¢1,030
65.0¢2,550
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Consensus (2 platforms, liquidity-weighted)54.43%
Platforms differ by 5.4pts — a normal range.
PlatformQuestionLive PriceReal Bid / AskWeight
PolymarketUS Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea52.50%51¢ / 54¢
64%
LimitlessMichael Zheng vs Arthur Gea57.90%55.2¢ / 60.6¢
36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur Gea"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 52.50%, based on $906.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 12, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Yes — PredictRankd has confirmed this is also listed on: Limitless (57.90%). The real bid/ask-spread-weighted consensus across all 2 platforms is 54.43%. See the full comparison table below.