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Finance · Polymarket

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?

Trade on Polymarket →
85.90%
Live Bitcoin Price$84,062▼ 2.50% 24h· via CoinGecko
Sat 1906 AM12 PM06 PMSep 2006 AM12 PM06 PMMon 2106 AM12 PM06 PMTue 2206 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2306 AM12 PM06 PMThu 24102030405060708090100%86.15%

Stats

24h Volume
$34.7K

Your call

The market says 85.9%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price85.90%
Spread + depth+0.66 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability86.56%
1155
Shares
$155
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.3¢ (1.5%)
Mid Price
85.9¢
Total Depth
$95,634
Bid/Ask Imbalance
31% bid
Bids (Buy)
85.2¢400
85.1¢200
84.7¢400
84.6¢7,133
84.5¢200
84.4¢5,500
84.1¢113
83.9¢118
Asks (Sell)
86.5¢800
86.6¢40
86.7¢800
86.8¢801
87.2¢530
87.4¢7,140
88.5¢600
88.8¢400
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
86.50¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
86.56¢+0.07%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
87.39¢+1.03%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 85.90%, based on $34.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 25, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.