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Sports · Polymarket

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-05?

Trade on Polymarket →
29.50%
28.6% calibrated
12 PMTue 2512 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 061416182022242628303234%29.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$55.7K

Your call

The market says 29.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price29.50%
Spread + depth+1.77 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability31.27%
3198
Shares
$2,198
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.4%)
Mid Price
29.5¢
Total Depth
$26,658
Bid/Ask Imbalance
13% bid
Bids (Buy)
29.0¢1,815
28.0¢2,043
27.0¢658
26.0¢436
25.0¢5,127
24.0¢224
23.0¢1,558
20.0¢25
Asks (Sell)
30.0¢63
31.0¢2,213
32.0¢5,173
33.0¢379
34.0¢1,442
35.0¢25
38.0¢50
64.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
30.81¢+2.69%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
31.27¢+4.23%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
55.76¢+85.86%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 16 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

São Paulo FC
99.95%
Boyacá Chicó FC
99.95%
Ceará SC
99.95%
CS Huancayo
99.95%
Columbus Crew
73.50%
Inter Miami CF
73.50%
Go Ahead Eagles
71.50%
Orlando City SC
65.50%
FC Cincinnati
56.00%
Seattle Sounders FC
50.50%
Los Angeles FC
41.50%
New England Revolution
37.50%
Minnesota United FC
35.50%
CR Vasco da GamaViewing
29.50%
Fluminense FC
28.50%
Once Caldas
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-05?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 29.50%, based on $55.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.