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Sports · Polymarket

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?

Trade on Polymarket →
89.50%
12 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PM72747678808284868890929496%89.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 91.4% in 4d (89.2–93.2%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$2.3K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 89.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price89.50%
Spread + depth+1.25 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability90.75%
1102
Shares
$102
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
89.5¢
Total Depth
$612,869
Bid/Ask Imbalance
14% bid
Bids (Buy)
89.0¢48,998
88.0¢21,999
87.0¢13,040
86.0¢2,160
84.0¢4,608
75.0¢821
74.0¢18
73.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
90.0¢277
91.0¢103,874
92.0¢121,499
93.0¢127,246
94.0¢100,481
95.0¢101,033
96.0¢527
97.0¢3,383
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
90.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
90.75¢+0.83%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.97¢+1.08%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 89.50%, based on $2.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 18, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.