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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: Kentucky (-20.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
47.00%
48.0% calibrated
Tue 2206 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2306 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2406 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2506 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2606 AM12 PM3638404244464850525456%39.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$123.7K

Your call

The market says 47.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price47.00%
Spread + depth−5.11 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability41.89%
2387
Shares
$1,387
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (7.8%)
Mid Price
38.5¢
Total Depth
$346,634
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.0¢362
36.0¢255
35.0¢1,558
34.0¢388
33.0¢606
26.0¢20
23.0¢250
17.0¢588
Asks (Sell)
40.0¢110
41.0¢50
42.0¢5,331
43.0¢2,902
44.0¢6
53.0¢255
57.0¢6
59.0¢273
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
40.89¢+2.23%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
41.89¢+4.72%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
58.15¢+45.37%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: Kentucky (-20.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 47.00%, based on $123.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.