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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: UNLV (-13.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
40.50%
39.4% calibrated
Tue 2206 AM12 PM06 PMWed 2306 AM12 PM06 PMThu 2406 AM12 PM06 PMFri 2506 AM12 PM06 PMSat 2606 AM12 PM3840424446485052%40.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$231.8K

Your call

The market says 40.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price40.50%
Spread + depth+3.43 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability43.93%
2277
Shares
$1,277
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (7.4%)
Mid Price
40.5¢
Total Depth
$275,240
Bid/Ask Imbalance
3% bid
Bids (Buy)
39.0¢148
38.0¢252
37.0¢2,215
36.0¢2,168
35.0¢606
30.0¢450
18.0¢237
17.0¢588
Asks (Sell)
42.0¢250
43.0¢217
44.0¢1,259
45.0¢1,166
46.0¢596
51.0¢450
59.0¢273
63.0¢237
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
42.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.93¢+4.59%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
66.83¢+59.12%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: UNLV (-13.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 40.50%, based on $231.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 26, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.