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Sports · Polymarket

Toledo vs. Michigan State

Trade on Polymarket →
4.80%
2.8% calibrated
12 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0568101214161820222426%9.30%

Stats

24h Volume
$273.2K

Your call

The market says 4.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price4.80%
Spread + depth+7.38 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability12.18%
8212
Shares
$7,212
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.3¢ (21.8%)
Mid Price
10.6¢
Total Depth
$75,283
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
9.4¢5
9.3¢64
9.1¢1,011
9.0¢10
8.9¢254
8.6¢16
8.5¢16
8.2¢1,963
Asks (Sell)
11.7¢1,000
11.8¢63
11.9¢4,141
12.0¢2,102
12.3¢52
12.4¢1,473
12.9¢1,076
13.0¢3,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
11.70¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
11.96¢+2.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
38.99¢+233.21%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Toledo vs. Michigan State"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 4.80%, based on $273.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 5, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.